TY - BOOK AU - Bootsma,James ED - Bank of Canada, TI - 2020 US neutral rate assessment T2 - Bank of Canada staff discussion paper, U1 - 332.80973 23 PY - 2020/// CY - Ottawa, Ontario, Canada PB - Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada KW - Interest rates KW - United States KW - Econometric models KW - Taux d'intérêt KW - États-Unis KW - Modèles économétriques KW - Debt KW - iptcnc KW - Economic growth KW - Economic inequality KW - Economics KW - Economy KW - Finance KW - Government debt KW - Labour economics KW - Macroeconomics KW - Neoclassical economics KW - Electronic books N1 - Distributed by the Government of Canada Publishing and Depository Services Program (Weekly acquisitions list 2020-49); "Last updated: December 1, 2020."; Includes bibliographical references; Unrestricted online access; Electronic monograph in PDF format N2 - 'This paper presents Bank of Canada staff's current assessment of the US neutral rate, along with a newly developed set of models on which that assessment is based. The overall assessment is that the US neutral rate currently lies in a range of 1.75 to 2.75 percent. This represents a decline of 50 basis points relative to the range judged at the time of the Bank's last neutral rate update in April 2019. Roughly half of this decline reflects an assessment of conditions prevailing in late 2019 and is thus unrelated to the COVID-19 pandemic. The other half reflects the balance of several key channels through which the COVID-19 shock is likely to influence US interest rates over the years ahead, including its impacts on potential output growth, inequality, demand for safe assets and the level of US government debt. Results from the new models specifically point to upward pressure from higher government debt being more than offset by downward pressure from lower potential output growth, higher inequality and heightened demand for safe assets'--Abstract, page ii UR - https://epe.lac-bac.gc.ca/100/201/301/weekly_acquisitions_list-ef/2020/20-49/publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2020/banque-bank-canada/FB3-6-2020-12-eng.pdf UR - http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2020/banque-bank-canada/FB3-6-2020-12-eng.pdf UR - http://www.deslibris.ca/ID/10105569 UR - http://api.deslibris.ca/api/cover/getcover?id=10105569&thumbnail=false UR - http://api.deslibris.ca/api/cover/getcover?id=10105569&thumbnail=true ER -